Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Flaneur: probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (real life), Phoenician wine, deadlifts & dead languages. Greco-Levantine. #RWRI
10+ Book Recommendations by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Seventh Letter
Dr. Mihai Iuliu Spariosu
The Time is 347 B.C.Aging Plato has FallenSeriously IllA group of his followers, including his nephew, Speusippus, and his most brilliant student,Aristotle, are waiting to be called to his bedside. The two younger philosophers are embroiled in academic politics. They expect Plato to endorse one of them as his successor to the leadership of the Academy. But an unexpected turn of events casts doubt on the future of the School, as well as that of the entire Greek world. The previous night someone has thrown a mysterious scroll into Plato's bedroom. It contains what has come down to posterity as his famed, but controversial,Seventh Letter?"I loved the book. It is much more than a historical novel; I found it to be an entertaining and gripping biographical documentary staging Plato, Socrates and the Athenian Academy.The reader can become acquainted with Plato's philosophy without abstraction, as the ideas are imbedded in the narrative."- Nassim Nicholas TalebBest selling Author of The Black SwanThe posthumous novel by my late friend Mihai Spariosu, RIP. Saw the book's progression over the past 20 y. “Entertaining & gripping ...Plato, Socrates & the Academy/ Plato’s philosophy without abstraction, as the ideas are imbedded in the narrative.” https://t.co/FLtUXDsDO1
COVID-19
Mads Bahrami
This STEM Volume gathers a selection of research papers on COVID-19 using a complex systems approach. Methods include agent-based models, cellular automata, networks, population dynamics, spatial-temporal patterns, risk management, analysis of fat-tails, data analysis and visualization. A few examples are: (i) Discussions about policies and strategies against outbreaks in the context of uncertainty and incomplete information. (ii) Analysis and proper understanding of probability and its role in decision-making against contagion outbreaks. (iii) Different approaches to model the spread of a virus in a population using simulations. (iv) Applications with observational data to include natural patterns of human behavior into modeling and decision-making frameworks.The Amazon link https://t.co/P1Rne3Smzp
- "La seule chose que je désirais [...] profondément, avidement, c'était un regard lucide et désabusé. Je l'ai trouvé enfin dans l'art du roman. C'est pourquoi être romancier fut pour moi plus que pratiquer un "genre littéraire" parmi d'autres ; ce fut une attitude, une sagesse, une position ; une position excluant toute identification à une politique, à une religion, à une idéologie, à une morale, à une collectivité ; une non-identification consciente, opiniâtre, enragée, conçue non pas comme évasion ou passivité, mais comme résistance, défi, révolte. J'ai fini par avoir ces dialogues étranges : "Vous êtes communiste, monsieur Kundera ? Non, je suis romancier". "Vous êtes dissident ? Non, je suis romancier". "Vous êtes de gauche ou de droite ? Ni l'un ni l'autre. Je suis romancier". "Milan Kundera, Les Testaments trahis. Dans Le Rideau, Milan Kundera oppose à la "morale de l'archive" , qui justifie la publication de tout ce qu'un auteur a pu écrire, la "morale de l'essentiel" : seuls appartiennent à l'oeuvre les textes que l'auteur juge dignes d'être retenus. Le reste relève de la biographie, peut-être des marges de l'oeuvre, non de l'oeuvre elle-même. La présente édition ne propose donc pas des Oeuvres complètes, mais une Oeuvre, complète dans la mesure où l'auteur en a lui-même dessiné les contours, fixé le titre et arrêté la présentation. Au sommaire de ces deux volumes figurent un recueil de nouvelles, neuf romans, une pièce de théâtre dont le point de départ est un roman et quatre essais consacrés pour l'essentiel à l'art du roman : quinze livres où se réalise pleinement la volonté esthétique de Milan Kundera, mûre, consciente, assumée. Le texte de ces livres, souvent retouché par l'auteur à l'occasion de rééditions ou de simples réimpressions, se veut aussi définitif que possible. On chercherait en vain, dans cette édition, une biographie de Kundera. On y trouvera en revanche la biographie de son oeuvre. En quinze chapitres, un par livre, François Ricard retrace le destin de ces livres et évoque les circonstances de leur publication, de leur diffusion, de leur réception. Ces chapitres sont enrichis d'extraits de déclarations, de notes ou de préfaces dues à Milan Kundera : autant d'écrits jusqu'alors difficilement accessibles, voire inédits en français.
It took 5 weeks to get here from France... The complete works (The Czech was translated by Kundera). Now the question: where to start. Most of Kundera's books are hypnotic. This is literature. https://t.co/Q9wwtH933O
The World Through a Magnifying Glass
Luca DellAnna
A book to understand the Autism Spectrum Disorder.For parents and friends of people affected by it, a book to finally understand why they behave the way they do.For neurologists, a novel theory on the cause of the disorder, and for psychologists, a novel theory on the causes for the learning disabilities (and how they can be mitigated).For people on the Spectrum, a book to understand themselves and the weird world of Neurotypicals.Some of the topics covered inside:* The Magnifying Glass: a metaphor to understand perception under the Spectrum* Why people on the Spectrum are impaired in contextual fields (such as personal communication) and advantaged in mastering detailed fields (such as computer science).* Peripheral Functionality Blindness: the reason people on the Spectrum do not develop appropriate body language and facial expressivity.* Prioritization by Specificity: the reason literal meaning is the only thing which matters, for people on the Spectrum.* The High-Pass filter: a novel hypothesis for the Autism Spectrum Disorder, coherent with previous theories and experimental results.(Reading time is about 1h30)@DellAnnaLuca Just bought your book
Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The very notion of "probability neglect" was shown to be BS in a paper made a chapter in my book (free PDF). Psychologists have NO CLUE about fat tails. https://t.co/iNmMv1GQwC https://t.co/mLqVIi3maY
The Decameron (Penguin Classics)
Giovanni Boccaccio
Translated with an Introduction and Notes by G. H. McWilliam.@GeorgeJNasr @vtchakarova @exai_ @hugowiz @AhsanDeliri @alexandersquats @SocialWealth @financequant @mikeharrisNY @JamesMarsh79 @VergilDen @Jed_Trott @paulportesi @lpolovets @mdvex @BrianDElias @sacca @rorysutherland @IAmMicMars @GrantSSC @brainbraga @Extrachelle @ellenLupton @barabasi @OxygenAdvantage @TalAter @ilSaggiatoreEd @vmdTM @Rockette_Morton @_roc @NatZiv @TonyFergusonXT @JamesGRickards @NachoOliveras @i_sundog My mind is on books I don't have yet, but did order. The Decameron in Italian/Spanish bilingual so I can improve both... Looking for more bilingual Italian/Greek/Spanish... https://t.co/k098axJ6uO
The Count of Monte Cristo
Alexandre Dumas pere
Translated with an Introduction by Robin Buss@cassanov5 The last 70 pages are so intense you will not be able to drop the book.
Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The book is finally on Amazon. Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails: Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemolog... https://t.co/fTfwJVS4Xr via @amazon
Cultural Amnesia
Clive James
Offers an illuminating study of humanism that examines the work of Louis Armstrong, Sigmund Freud, Franz Kafka, Marcel Proust, and other notable philosophers, musicians, artists, humanists, and writers of the twentieth century.Clive James, RIP My notes on his book *Cultural Amnesia* https://t.co/Z8dcT5RjSy
SKIN IN THE GAME
NASSIM NICHOLAS. TALEB
@DoDandrea @mises @joakimbook All wrong! One step below wrong! Read Skin in the game before commenting on my approach to behavioral psych.
Incerto
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The landmark five-book series--now in a beautifully designed, cloth-bound deluxe hardcover boxed set The Incerto is an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don't understand the world, expressed in the form a personal essay with autobiographical sections, stories, parables, and philosophical, historical, and scientific discussions, in non-overlapping volumes that can be accessed in any order. The main thread is that while there is inordinate uncertainty about what is going on, there is great certainty as to what one should do about it. This deluxe boxed set includes: FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS THE BLACK SWAN THE BED OF PROCRUSTES ANTIFRAGILE SKIN IN THE GAMEINCERTO: Good news. It turns out there is no paper quality issue. Could have been a trial batch. The commentator changed his review. When you charge $$$ for a book, it must be FLAWLESS. https://t.co/YAKKaQZOXx https://t.co/v7HaGD8u7E
Le nazisme et l'Antiquité
Johann Chapoutot
"Nous n'avons pas de passé", affirme Hitler, qui déplore que les archéologues SS s'obstinent à fouiller les bois de Germanie pour n'y exhumer que des mauvaises cruches. Le passé de la race, celui qui doit remplir de fierté les Allemands, se trouve en Grèce et à Rome. Quoi de mieux que Sparte pour construire une société et un homme nouveaux ? Quel meilleur exemple que Rome pour édifier un Empire ? Quel meilleur avertissement que les guerres qui opposèrent la race nordique aux assauts de la Perse et de Carthage ? Le Reich a succédé à Athènes et à Rome dans ce combat racial millénaire, où il fait face aux mêmes ennemis et au même péril. Johann Chapoutot explore le coeur du projet totalitaire nazi : dominer le présent et l'avenir, mais aussi un passé récrit instrumentalisé.THREAD on How the Nazis (& predecessors) created a link with (some of) the Mediterranean populations, to manufacture a common "race" with former Barbarians and a continuum of civilization. Chapoutot, thanks to recommendation by @holland_tom https://t.co/KEdcKrbFHb
Things I learned this year: There is a thing called Egyptian Aramaic. I was wondering why Egyptian say "mayya" for water & other Levantinisms. https://t.co/XYYcvIzaAD
Cambacérès
Pierre-François Pinaud
Apprenticeship: law was not really a university thing. You learn working with doers. #Skininthegame https://t.co/nhLa0fa6ie
Dynamic Hedging
Nassim Taleb
Destined to become a market classic, Dynamic Hedging is the only practical reference in exotic options hedgingand arbitrage for professional traders and money managers Watch the professionals. From central banks to brokerages to multinationals, institutional investors are flocking to a new generation of exotic and complex options contracts and derivatives. But the promise of ever larger profits also creates the potential for catastrophic trading losses. Now more than ever, the key to trading derivatives lies in implementing preventive risk management techniques that plan for and avoid these appalling downturns. Unlike other books that offer risk management for corporate treasurers, Dynamic Hedging targets the real-world needs of professional traders and money managers. Written by a leading options trader and derivatives risk advisor to global banks and exchanges, this book provides a practical, real-world methodology for monitoring and managing all the risks associated with portfolio management. Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the founder of Empirica Capital LLC, a hedge fund operator, and a fellow at the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University. He has held a variety of senior derivative trading positions in New York and London and worked as an independent floor trader in Chicago. Dr. Taleb was inducted in February 2001 in the Derivatives Strategy Hall of Fame. He received an MBA from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from University Paris-Dauphine.In my book Dynamic Hedging I show arbitrage bounds for correlations, a tutorial. We knew correlations were not transitive but the bounds were arbitrages. https://t.co/ag59oBjRVs
The Black Swan
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb “The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ Praise for The Black Swan “[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) “A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail “Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times “The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal “Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times “Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition.@UntergrundmannG @wherati @Thevesh Exactly. That's the one I used in The Black Swan!
The Logic and Statistics of Fat Tails
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Logic and Statistics of Fat Tails is the definitive source on fat-tailed distribution and an essential technical read for students, accountants and those working in finance.@snowded @ShipSystem @RichyS1111 Vol 2 of the Technical Incerto "Fragility, Risk and Convexity" (Chapters 5 and beyond) presents the fragility theorems with precise mapping of responses to random and deterministic events. https://t.co/zl8LfP2LfJ